South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77598eab9878ffad321cad2018762fc534c26f677344957c0802035d730d433e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CS Independiente Rivadaviaof CS Independiente Rivadavia, Deportivo La Guaira FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 43c | 1,236$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Deportivo La Guaira FC | 54c | 986.96$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.96 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…dff2backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 58c | 800.08$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 61c | 568.87$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 58c | 568.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.98 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Deportivo La Guaira FC | 53c | 494.96$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.33 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 11c | 313.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 57c | 263.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 55c | 149.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 53c | 145.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 58c | 117.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 42c | 87.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Deportivo La Guaira FC | 53c | 49.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 54c | 40.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 43c | 39.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 56c | 32.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Deportivo La Guaira FC | 55c | 25.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…0cf2backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 54c | 18.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.