Olympics · resolved market
Women's Group B - France vs. Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77de050830a501c879e2c396020bc5d96bc77ed83128b483cb673eb4a4421b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swedenof France, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked France | 5c | 4,495$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed France | 4c | 1,137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed France | 3c | 1,101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed France | 4c | 664.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…5fecbacked France | 6c | 430$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…3d3dbacked France | 6c | 420$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked France | 6c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…1ccbbacked France | 5c | 370$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…48bfbacked France | 5c | 340$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…4d9cbacked France | 5c | 324$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed France | 6c | 173.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.