CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs Change The Game - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78022c4fa0756683727ad6b7aa51bc852867cea217a616f2e8eae71f79c7deff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haunted Houseof Haunted House, Change The Game
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Change The Game | 59c | 768.84$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.84 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Haunted House | 41c | 560.41$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.98 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Change The Game | 43c | 499.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.02 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Haunted House | 57c | 421.81$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.74 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Haunted House | 73c | 374.52$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Change The Game | 27c | 246$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Haunted House | 76c | 228.57$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…8fabbacked Haunted House | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Change The Game | 59c | 120.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Change The Game | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Change The Game | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Change The Game | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Haunted House | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Haunted House | 41c | 70.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Change The Game | 25c | 66.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Haunted House | 72c | 42.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Haunted House | 42c | 25.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs Change The Game - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs Change The Game (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group BHaunted House won
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs Change The Game - Map 1 WinnerHaunted House won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.