CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs Change The Game (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d23a69802177a70f1dfe304d5f1846d8d4c3b6fd1e6f99190d1576538cb04c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haunted Houseof Haunted House, Change The Game
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Change The Game | 61c | 3,243$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.91 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Haunted House | 40c | 1,043$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.79 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Haunted House | 41c | 868.09$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.74 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Haunted House | 42c | 848.39$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.7 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Change The Game | 61c | 523.72$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.36 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Change The Game | 61c | 412.4$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Haunted House | 43c | 400$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Change The Game | 58c | 303.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Haunted House | 36c | 291.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Haunted House | 39c | 281$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.41 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Haunted House | 42c | 255.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Haunted House | 41c | 255.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 362 | 39.2%142 W · 220 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Haunted House | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Change The Game | 58c | 172.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Change The Game | 48c | 172$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Haunted House | 79c | 162.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Change The Game | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Haunted House | 39c | 155$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Haunted House | 40c | 146$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Change The Game | 61c | 129$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Haunted House | 40c | 104$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Haunted House | 38c | 96.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Change The Game | 58c | 93.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 310 | 51.3%159 W · 151 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Change The Game | 16c | 92.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Change The Game | 63c | 89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Haunted House | 69c | 88.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Haunted House | 39c | 84.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Haunted House | 37c | 80.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed Haunted House | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Haunted House | 70c | 73.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Haunted House | 39c | 70.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Haunted House | 40c | 68.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Haunted House | 40c | 63.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Change The Game | 49c | 63.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Change The Game | 63c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Haunted House | 72c | 55.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Haunted House | 36c | 50.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Haunted House | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a7…057ebacked Change The Game | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Haunted House | 38c | 36.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Haunted House | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Haunted House | 37c | 28.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Change The Game | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Change The Game | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Change The Game | 61c | 18.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Change The Game | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs Change The Game (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs Change The Game - Map 1 WinnerHaunted House won
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs Change The Game - Map 2 WinnerHaunted House won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.