NHL · resolved market
AHL: Calgary Wranglers vs. Laval Rocket
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x785a137f87c2b8c04ff84314ef52a7a2b2110bc33f0c55743a3e52b0573d173d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Calgary Wranglersof Calgary Wranglers, Laval Rocket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Laval Rocket | 65c | 2,059$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.96 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Calgary Wranglers | 36c | 783.67$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.12 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Calgary Wranglers | 34c | 564.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.71 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Laval Rocket | 67c | 372.38$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Laval Rocket | 67c | 365.86$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Laval Rocket | 67c | 291.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Calgary Wranglers | 33c | 276.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Calgary Wranglers | 33c | 180.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Calgary Wranglers | 35c | 134.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Calgary Wranglers | 33c | 128.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Calgary Wranglers | 34c | 124.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 33c | 116.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Calgary Wranglers | 34c | 115.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Calgary Wranglers | 33c | 102.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Laval Rocket | 68c | 99.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Calgary Wranglers | 33c | 98.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 36c | 90.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…8fe6backed Calgary Wranglers | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Calgary Wranglers | 32c | 64.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Calgary Wranglers | 31c | 63.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Calgary Wranglers | 33c | 61.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Calgary Wranglers | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…5f1fbacked Laval Rocket | 69c | 56.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Calgary Wranglers | 32c | 45.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Calgary Wranglers | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Laval Rocket | 69c | 35.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Laval Rocket | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…1139backed Laval Rocket | 67c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Calgary Wranglers | 79c | 19.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.