Lol · resolved market
LoL: Estral Esports vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x785e3ef2b190ff1808c6a0fe79eb36b6d9ba247775ec6c6f72566524d19f3ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, Ei Nerd Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf532…6ab4backed Ei Nerd Esports | 7c | 2,522$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Ei Nerd Esports | 7c | 2,147$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Ei Nerd Esports | 6c | 1,158$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Ei Nerd Esports | 7c | 967$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Ei Nerd Esports | 7c | 536.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ei Nerd Esports | 7c | 509.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked Ei Nerd Esports | 6c | 503.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ei Nerd Esports | 5c | 356.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ei Nerd Esports | 7c | 298.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Ei Nerd Esports | 5c | 294.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…46aebacked Ei Nerd Esports | 5c | 262.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ei Nerd Esports | 5c | 260.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…60e7backed Ei Nerd Esports | 8c | 258.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…8254backed Ei Nerd Esports | 8c | 230.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Estral Esports vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs Ei Nerd Esports - Game 1 WinnerEstral Esports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs Ei Nerd Esports - Game 2 WinnerEstral Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.