Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Cougars vs. Syracuse Orange
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x786209118cfd256710eafade34c4654b4a69026b82d874361717999f2d32ce12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, Syracuse Orange
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Syracuse Orange | 18c | 4,727$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Syracuse Orange | 9c | 2,949$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Syracuse Orange | 8c | 1,765$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Syracuse Orange | 10c | 1,188$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Syracuse Orange | 8c | 1,019$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Syracuse Orange | 12c | 799.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Syracuse Orange | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Syracuse Orange | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse Orange | 11c | 486.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Syracuse Orange | 21c | 334.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Syracuse Orange | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Syracuse Orange | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Syracuse Orange | 39c | 204$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…464abacked Syracuse Orange | 12c | 203.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Houston Cougars | 65c | 159$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Syracuse Orange | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…0725backed Syracuse Orange | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Syracuse Orange | 10c | 135.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Syracuse Orange | 14c | 123.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Syracuse Orange | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Syracuse Orange | 15c | 111.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Syracuse Orange | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Syracuse Orange | 14c | 103.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…150cbacked Syracuse Orange | 15c | 80.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Syracuse Orange | 22c | 78.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Syracuse Orange | 17c | 75.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Houston Cougars | 62c | 62.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Cougars vs. Syracuse Orangethis page
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-12.5)Syracuse Orange won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-13.5)Syracuse Orange won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-14.5)Syracuse Orange won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.