La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d760ae21db68274ae5f6499fcac600d46404b316c53230e11ef29de5f09f61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 63c | 24,993$15,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,247.58 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 5,969$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.76 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 760.26$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 27c | 447.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed No | 75c | 384.7$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 63c | 227.5$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 16c | 154.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 35c | 141.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 22c | 134.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 37c | 76.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 64c | 52.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 75c | 30.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed No | 65c | 26.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 66c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.