MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793cbf3b263152d5df83bb3263a108b16b51979cb3c1918c380596814f7a3312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Kansas City Royals, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,451 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 2,096$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.68 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 769.27$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.02 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 717.12$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.82 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 659.19$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.82 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 488$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 373.25$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 221$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…fd5abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 192.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 168.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 139.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 132.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 87.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 81.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Chicago White Sox | 71c | 77.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 68.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 60.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chicago White Sox | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.