CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x795c51a6417d260849f79158b79d86050b9628d09d9f656ff6627ae3f7241568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Rune Eaters, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Bebop | 76c | 2,706$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.45 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,206$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bebop | 47c | 1,090$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.89 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 617$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Bebop | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 50c | 396.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.52 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 361.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 272 | 45.2%123 W · 149 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Bebop | 80c | 224.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Bebop | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 119.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 108.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 90.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 66.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 61.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 57.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2,442 | 46.8%1,142 W · 1,300 L | -54.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Bebop | 46c | 38.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…5e45backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…4f06backed Bebop | 47c | 31.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed Bebop | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group DBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.