Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: RIZON vs CGN Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x796900706ed25f853c832db76d159b9d804b12e5a4bd16ecf32555701d8fb7ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof RIZON, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CGN Esports | 53c | 859.17$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.21 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed RIZON | 49c | 426.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed RIZON | 42c | 295.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed RIZON | 43c | 244.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RIZON | 38c | 240.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed RIZON | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked RIZON | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed RIZON | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked CGN Esports | 43c | 32.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed RIZON | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked CGN Esports | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked CGN Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: RIZON vs CGN Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: RIZON vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageCGN Esports won
- Valorant: RIZON vs CGN Esports - Map 1 WinnerRIZON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.