Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: RIZON vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaab1c3ad9c60486e5ab29f9f748a9258658acb3908fb26c56c637ece9efb5d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof RIZON, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed CGN Esports | 48c | 3,868$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.34 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked RIZON | 24c | 2,400$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.86 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed RIZON | 50c | 2,071$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.25 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RIZON | 37c | 1,323$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.12 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked RIZON | 51c | 1,145$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed RIZON | 55c | 913.86$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.93 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed CGN Esports | 53c | 911.9$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.91 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed CGN Esports | 49c | 870.8$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.04 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed RIZON | 5c | 866.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked RIZON | 53c | 655.31$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.39 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed RIZON | 43c | 586.3$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…e35bbacked RIZON | 5c | 504.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed CGN Esports | 52c | 447.17$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed RIZON | 27c | 380.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed CGN Esports | 52c | 380.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked CGN Esports | 54c | 378.7$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked RIZON | 50c | 315.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.97 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed CGN Esports | 77c | 300.5$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RIZON | 41c | 266.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…31f9backed CGN Esports | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked CGN Esports | 68c | 240.66$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed RIZON | 9c | 239.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed RIZON | 6c | 211.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed RIZON | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked CGN Esports | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed RIZON | 34c | 193.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CGN Esports | 43c | 191.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed RIZON | 47c | 178.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed RIZON | 16c | 171.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RIZON | 33c | 155.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…16cbbacked RIZON | 8c | 151.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed RIZON | 27c | 145.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked CGN Esports | 69c | 116.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked RIZON | 25c | 111.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked CGN Esports | 51c | 108.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked RIZON | 13c | 94.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked CGN Esports | 39c | 90.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RIZON | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RIZON | 45c | 85.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed CGN Esports | 54c | 85.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed CGN Esports | 60c | 84.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RIZON | 26c | 84.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed RIZON | 41c | 79.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…cb45backed RIZON | 39c | 78.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed RIZON | 18c | 74.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CGN Esports | 66c | 71.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked RIZON | 22c | 62.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed RIZON | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed RIZON | 51c | 58.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed RIZON | 31c | 53.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked CGN Esports | 71c | 52.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked RIZON | 54c | 50.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dce…cd04backed RIZON | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed RIZON | 25c | 46.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RIZON | 43c | 43.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…687bbacked RIZON | 27c | 38.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed CGN Esports | 68c | 38.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked RIZON | 28c | 38.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed RIZON | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed CGN Esports | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed CGN Esports | 40c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked CGN Esports | 39c | 31.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed CGN Esports | 71c | 29.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed CGN Esports | 75c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed CGN Esports | 69c | 21.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked CGN Esports | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked CGN Esports | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 345 | 71%245 W · 100 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: RIZON vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: RIZON vs CGN Esports - Map 1 WinnerRIZON won
- Valorant: RIZON vs CGN Esports - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.