Cricket · resolved market
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Namibia vs Uganda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x798e9b3f5f965285228bcc618444c2bf87e510c3c95a8de1c0523a5ce1f702a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Namibiaof Namibia, Uganda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Namibia | 43c | 983.03$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.34 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Namibia | 20c | 604.06$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.59 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Uganda | 46c | 547.46$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Namibia | 5c | 490.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.53 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Uganda | 14c | 470$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Namibia | 60c | 330.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Uganda | 70c | 287.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Uganda | 43c | 258.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Namibia | 36c | 240.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Uganda | 11c | 208.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Namibia | 59c | 201.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Namibia | 28c | 200.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Uganda | 48c | 191.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Uganda | 17c | 188.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…7065backed Namibia | 54c | 184.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…ede8backed Uganda | 66c | 149.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…77b2backed Uganda | 71c | 145.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Uganda | 44c | 121.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Uganda | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Uganda | 47c | 90.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…566bbacked Uganda | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Namibia | 55c | 80.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Namibia | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Uganda | 58c | 71.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Uganda | 42c | 65.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Namibia | 36c | 61.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ca…70d3backed Namibia | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…d8fabacked Uganda | 79c | 54.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Namibia | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Namibia | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Namibia | 28c | 43.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Namibia | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Namibia | 51c | 39.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Namibia | 45c | 37.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d8…3c0cbacked Namibia | 57c | 35.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Namibia | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Uganda | 75c | 34.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…cb5bbacked Namibia | 47c | 33.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Uganda | 46c | 30.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Namibia | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Namibia | 69c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Uganda | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8eb…4952backed Namibia | 47c | 23.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…7b76backed Uganda | 78c | 16.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.