MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79a8dc65a40a2a7868d5eae459d21f330bf66e317e9914a2e4a173bb4fe7a416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 1,877$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.36 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SSG Landers | 44c | 1,811$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.81 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 28c | 193.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Lotte Giants | 73c | 175$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 153.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lotte Giants | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed SSG Landers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 78.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed SSG Landers | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 74.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 63.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 24c | 60.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked SSG Landers | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSG Landers | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed SSG Landers | 46c | 43.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed SSG Landers | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed SSG Landers | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…a1bfbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…f801backed SSG Landers | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4af6…c80dbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…84e1backed SSG Landers | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed SSG Landers | 46c | 23.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…8c12backed SSG Landers | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421a…2df4backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…edbdbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…bfedbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…8663backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…735ebacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 18.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.