CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs illwill - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ab8dff5c9600b8d47cda08f79638ef9c74a08b9f77d9ee4b756c3af481e02b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed illwill | 33c | 5,143$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.69 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 62c | 1,847$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.72 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed GamerLegion | 67c | 735.87$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.87 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed GamerLegion | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 519.93$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed GamerLegion | 79c | 379.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed GamerLegion | 75c | 361.64$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked illwill | 25c | 332.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed GamerLegion | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 213.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed GamerLegion | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed GamerLegion | 72c | 128$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked GamerLegion | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked GamerLegion | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…5ab7backed GamerLegion | 67c | 24.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs illwill (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs illwill - Map 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.