Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b134a3863dd72a6df63a3e7e80c3a9c7056983a4cfeec6c70aeb54cc654567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Vitality.Bee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Vitality.Bee | 17c | 3,867$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.87 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…56febacked Vitality.Bee | 1c | 1,937$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Vitality.Bee | 25c | 1,211$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Solary | 80c | 904.15$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Vitality.Bee | 22c | 852.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Vitality.Bee | 10c | 850.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Solary | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Solary | 73c | 768.52$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Vitality.Bee | 29c | 634.05$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Solary | 80c | 323.81$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Solary | 71c | 302.52$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Vitality.Bee | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Solary | 76c | 153.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Vitality.Bee | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Vitality.Bee | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Vitality.Bee | 22c | 84.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Solary | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Vitality.Bee | 17c | 61.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…d19dbacked Vitality.Bee | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Vitality.Bee | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Vitality.Bee | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Solary | 76c | 48.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.