Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b1f5e4be4c3fa887ba0115511536929e3dd56b8ff6c3c88d830c84c94567a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stray Teamof Stray Team, Miposhka Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miposhka Team | 42c | 2,594$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.93 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Stray Team | 55c | 1,840$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.57 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Stray Team | 58c | 1,002$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed Miposhka Team | 49c | 299.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Miposhka Team | 52c | 282$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Stray Team | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Miposhka Team | 50c | 199.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Stray Team | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Stray Team | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Stray Team | 55c | 115$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Stray Team | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Miposhka Team | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Miposhka Team | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Miposhka Team | 50c | 77.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed Stray Team | 57c | 43.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Stray Team | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsStray Team won
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 2 WinnerStray Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.