Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1c09d054c20ae97f302822d2e0e137a024f5472468cc45116397dd4dcab741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stray Teamof Stray Team, Miposhka Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Stray Team | 64c | 2,183$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miposhka Team | 40c | 1,413$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.36 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Miposhka Team | 63c | 234.31$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Miposhka Team | 39c | 233.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Stray Team | 36c | 220.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.28 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Stray Team | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Miposhka Team | 33c | 164$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Miposhka Team | 31c | 161.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Miposhka Team | 42c | 119$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Miposhka Team | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Miposhka Team | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Miposhka Team | 31c | 62.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Miposhka Team | 38c | 39.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Stray Team | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsStray Team won
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 1 WinnerStray Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.