TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sandefjord Fotballof KFUM-Kameratene Oslo, Sandefjord Fotball
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7c2…73bfbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo45c800$360 inLost-$359.527833.3%26 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo12c556.74$66 inLost-$65.872,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo12c493.5$59 inLost-$59.2287745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo13c351.93$46 inLost-$45.862,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo12c327.83$39 inLost-$39.347,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo12c320.94$39 inLost-$38.5137049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo18c136$24 inLost-$24.4832350.2%162 W · 161 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe36e…332ebacked Sandefjord Fotball59c67.8$40 inWon+$27.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo45c44.48$20 inLost-$20.021040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo25c40$10 inLost-$107024.3%17 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo45c31.11$14 inLost-$146262.9%39 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.