NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f7d88e932ba61f0bb27553eacbdf11c6611c6047fc78c7433df6e6e4394676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Dinamo Minsk, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,086 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 356.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Dinamo Minsk | 40c | 294.42$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Avangard Omsk | 43c | 240.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 203.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Avangard Omsk | 44c | 201$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Avangard Omsk | 43c | 195.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 177$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avangard Omsk | 44c | 104.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Avangard Omsk | 43c | 90.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Avangard Omsk | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…f6e5backed Avangard Omsk | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Avangard Omsk | 45c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 51.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Avangard Omsk | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Avangard Omsk | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Avangard Omsk | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 36.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avangard Omsk | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 44c | 32.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Avangard Omsk | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.