Euroleague · resolved market
Zhejiang Lions vs. Ningbo Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3bd35cc791bdda45c2ed0ead250e34f77f9a5423352da407a86de74c299214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Lionsof Zhejiang Lions, Ningbo Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Ningbo Rockets | 13c | 4,273$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.45 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ningbo Rockets | 14c | 721.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ningbo Rockets | 11c | 699.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Ningbo Rockets | 11c | 308.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ningbo Rockets | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Ningbo Rockets | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Ningbo Rockets | 15c | 208$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Ningbo Rockets | 9c | 208$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ningbo Rockets | 8c | 204.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Ningbo Rockets | 15c | 200.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ningbo Rockets | 8c | 169.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ningbo Rockets | 14c | 161.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ningbo Rockets | 15c | 155$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 14c | 141.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ningbo Rockets | 14c | 128.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Ningbo Rockets | 16c | 102.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ningbo Rockets | 14c | 101.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ningbo Rockets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ningbo Rockets | 14c | 96.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ningbo Rockets | 13c | 90.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7c…f1a9backed Ningbo Rockets | 17c | 64.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.