Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ghosts vs FUT Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a54b9c8d5e245f438a215b0e22be812b4a0c353400895a2d2545ffce78104ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ghostsof ghosts, FUT Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Academy | 40c | 999.05$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.95 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FUT Academy | 79c | 907.79$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.7 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ghosts | 24c | 485.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.88 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FUT Academy | 49c | 468.41$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.46 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ghosts | 41c | 406.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.37 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed ghosts | 17c | 279.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.87 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ghosts | 60c | 217.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked ghosts | 61c | 88.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ghosts | 41c | 77.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ghosts | 40c | 68.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked ghosts | 46c | 67.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked ghosts | 67c | 65.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked ghosts | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ghosts | 52c | 41.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ghosts | 38c | 35.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed ghosts | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ghosts vs FUT Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: ghosts vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group Bghosts won
- Valorant: ghosts vs FUT Academy - Map 2 Winnerghosts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.