Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ghosts vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6b4d380a1f304103f622c3e5d8593ee66a859029495956571e5562d2a1d32c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ghostsof ghosts, FUT Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FUT Academy | 35c | 798.27$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.36 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed FUT Academy | 34c | 564.94$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ghosts | 19c | 553.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.78 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ghosts | 72c | 529.76$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ghosts | 69c | 495.47$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked ghosts | 45c | 429.37$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.53 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed ghosts | 46c | 372.89$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FUT Academy | 50c | 372.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Academy | 74c | 300$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Academy | 80c | 215.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed FUT Academy | 49c | 197.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed FUT Academy | 8c | 168.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FUT Academy | 29c | 167.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ghosts | 57c | 154.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed FUT Academy | 28c | 136.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked ghosts | 48c | 100.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed ghosts | 21c | 97.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ghosts | 65c | 63.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Academy | 51c | 60.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed FUT Academy | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ghosts | 22c | 54.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ghosts | 58c | 33.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ghosts | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…e2c3backed FUT Academy | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FUT Academy | 77c | 20.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed ghosts | 71c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ghosts vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group Bthis page
- Valorant: ghosts vs FUT Academy - Map 1 Winnerghosts won
- Valorant: ghosts vs FUT Academy - Map 2 Winnerghosts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.