Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7af9ff68b83b232bee93e79b2ea37bbb7da714c9ece17e119fa582bf697c5bef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 17c | 32,034$5,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,376.05 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 17c | 29,521$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 13c | 10,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…c15cbacked No | 19c | 6,590$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…3979backed No | 11c | 3,849$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 17c | 3,102$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.19 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 19c | 2,954$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.12 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 17c | 2,845$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.57 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 76c | 2,637$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 1,629$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.91 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked No | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 1,292$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 1,197$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…df44backed No | 18c | 1,042$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 11c | 907.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 17c | 851.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Yes | 72c | 759.13$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Yes | 72c | 706.85$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.92 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…0289backed No | 28c | 703.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…2d8dbacked No | 18c | 671.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 14c | 649.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…ee99backed No | 20c | 576.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 4c | 533.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked No | 16c | 455.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 18c | 450.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 73c | 415.47$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…1522backed No | 30c | 329.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 8c | 312.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 8c | 300.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed Yes | 79c | 285$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 281.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 28c | 279.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 72c | 274.44$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 79c | 238.1$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 8c | 218.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 72c | 199.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 15c | 155.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 14c | 152.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…edf7backed No | 15c | 141.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked No | 18c | 140.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2954…0746backed Yes | 73c | 134.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 18c | 108.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked No | 16c | 102.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 14c | 96.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 21c | 79.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…5cd7backed Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…3302backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 16c | 66.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 80c | 65.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 25c | 44.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…6f6abacked Yes | 77c | 30.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 72c | 29.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…564cbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 73c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked Yes | 77c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.