Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b16e0a28e1a551cac32c1a247f01a4c79853366ac757bd21716473e78ad80cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof FunPlus Phoenix, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bc…decabacked FunPlus Phoenix | 47c | 2,242$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.93 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 32c | 1,052$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.25 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed JD Gaming | 58c | 1,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.15 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed JD Gaming | 20c | 855$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.21 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked JD Gaming | 57c | 736.95$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.33 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked JD Gaming | 52c | 578.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed JD Gaming | 68c | 502.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.04 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed JD Gaming | 68c | 466.95$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed JD Gaming | 44c | 365$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.15 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked JD Gaming | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked JD Gaming | 57c | 287.31$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed FunPlus Phoenix | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 189 | 40.7%77 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed JD Gaming | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed FunPlus Phoenix | 31c | 154.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed JD Gaming | 51c | 141.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed JD Gaming | 69c | 139.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked JD Gaming | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked JD Gaming | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 80c | 98.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed FunPlus Phoenix | 33c | 96.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed JD Gaming | 71c | 50.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked JD Gaming | 46c | 43.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked JD Gaming | 67c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed JD Gaming | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.