Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x194be0f34ca4b175ec3f95bad4928e76d00d69a7fec426a249e63caa2f145e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 63c | 877.64$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.39 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 64c | 640.08$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 50c | 513.9$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.88 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 21c | 396$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…041abacked Over | 49c | 392.63$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 37c | 347$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 253.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 49c | 154.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 52c | 137.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 80c | 98.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 44c | 71.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 49c | 41.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 23.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed Under | 51c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)FunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.