South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2025-11-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b182075765745aa9a361a1deb587ecdbaf256782f9978c4a3ed10db54ee88bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 52c | 19,596$10,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,189.84 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 3,203$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.79 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 51c | 3,112$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.01 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 8c | 1,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 886.48$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 797.01$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.24 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 773.43$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.38 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 46c | 689.56$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 52c | 357.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 279.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 50c | 253.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04be…1e0cbacked Yes | 46c | 247$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…fca8backed Yes | 47c | 231$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…a30ebacked No | 55c | 223$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…d5c1backed Yes | 46c | 196$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 180$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…fa79backed No | 54c | 172$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d8…664dbacked No | 54c | 157$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5563…0f9dbacked No | 55c | 132$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…a6fbbacked No | 54c | 131$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…a2cdbacked Yes | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…26f3backed Yes | 47c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 43c | 108$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 46c | 104.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 31c | 100.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 70c | 90.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba7f…094dbacked No | 55c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 47c | 75.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 46.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 54c | 40.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…18afbacked Yes | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…f383backed No | 53c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…f5dcbacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2025-11-20?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2025-11-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.