Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bowling Green vs. Eastern Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2648e32407af58d4a873d5a0819cd7cce949175c525c3abf32960e59ed715b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bowling Greenof Bowling Green, Eastern Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Eastern Michigan | 65c | 1,000$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.59 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bowling Green | 34c | 652.94$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.94 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bowling Green | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a68…f2d2backed Bowling Green | 25c | 182$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…d835backed Bowling Green | 25c | 147$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…a7e4backed Eastern Michigan | 75c | 137$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling Green | 26c | 105$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…5a76backed Bowling Green | 39c | 98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…9c8fbacked Eastern Michigan | 75c | 94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…64b7backed Eastern Michigan | 61c | 87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…ef4dbacked Bowling Green | 39c | 84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…d14abacked Eastern Michigan | 74c | 82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343e…b855backed Eastern Michigan | 62c | 76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9c60backed Bowling Green | 38c | 72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…2676backed Bowling Green | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47d…67edbacked Bowling Green | 39c | 61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bowling Green | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…6113backed Eastern Michigan | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8108…f3cebacked Bowling Green | 38c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…7547backed Eastern Michigan | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…b7f1backed Eastern Michigan | 61c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…3bc9backed Eastern Michigan | 61c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Bowling Green | 38c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6b…3972backed Bowling Green | 38c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c7…b888backed Eastern Michigan | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…dff1backed Bowling Green | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…5fcfbacked Eastern Michigan | 75c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…5b0abacked Bowling Green | 38c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…cc2abacked Bowling Green | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x647b…13f1backed Bowling Green | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…b8bbbacked Eastern Michigan | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…67b1backed Bowling Green | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 44cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…bfbebacked Eastern Michigan | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…cf16backed Eastern Michigan | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…565dbacked Eastern Michigan | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…2bf6backed Eastern Michigan | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c11…a1dfbacked Eastern Michigan | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…a0b1backed Eastern Michigan | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7162…36ecbacked Eastern Michigan | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ef…55fbbacked Eastern Michigan | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.