Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4d0b9e977fb15c9100b49ed7b4f6b42d03fd7d12e644c6f1b91ef92965a69c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed TEC Esports | 63c | 921.76$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.71 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TEC Esports | 62c | 773.68$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.68 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed TYLOO | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed TYLOO | 38c | 531.31$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed TEC Esports | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed TYLOO | 33c | 517.39$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.65 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked TYLOO | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked TEC Esports | 64c | 400$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed TYLOO | 36c | 355.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.72 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed TYLOO | 38c | 247.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed TYLOO | 37c | 207.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed TEC Esports | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed TEC Esports | 64c | 62.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…9680backed TEC Esports | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed TEC Esports | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked TEC Esports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsTYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.