CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b928e2326920f00eb0ff66f63859cab7331b774532fa6552a103637d804323f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, R2 Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,335 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed R2 Esports Club | 22c | 1,149$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 71c | 603.29$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 520.27$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fake do Biru | 76c | 252.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked R2 Esports Club | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked R2 Esports Club | 27c | 179.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Fake do Biru | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed R2 Esports Club | 12c | 83.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked R2 Esports Club | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed R2 Esports Club | 26c | 49.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fake do Biru | 79c | 37.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fake do Biru | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…68d7backed Fake do Biru | 80c | 14.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Fake do Biru | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club - Map 2 WinnerR2 Esports Club won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs R2 Esports Club (+1.5)R2 Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.