TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Derby County FCof Oxford United FC, Derby County FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,162 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5dc…d448backed Derby County FC50c248.32$124 inWon+$124.16850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ff…7898backed Derby County FC50c239.36$120 inWon+$119.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b2…0cb6backed Derby County FC50c238.36$119 inWon+$119.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x512c…3ff5backed Derby County FC50c237.06$119 inWon+$118.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1231…9019backed Derby County FC50c236.77$118 inWon+$118.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8409…546ebacked Derby County FC50c236.45$118 inWon+$118.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1494…0593backed Derby County FC50c236.05$118 inWon+$118.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9c…467dbacked Derby County FC50c235.48$118 inWon+$117.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbba1…1b12backed Derby County FC50c235.26$118 inWon+$117.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5d…0fbfbacked Derby County FC50c234.99$117 inWon+$117.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…c156backed Derby County FC50c234.95$117 inWon+$117.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb011…2447backed Derby County FC50c234.51$117 inWon+$117.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…4224backed Derby County FC50c234.33$117 inWon+$117.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x875e…0377backed Derby County FC50c230.57$115 inWon+$115.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f4…8c69backed Derby County FC50c230.53$115 inWon+$115.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.