TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tulane Green Wave vs. Charlotte 49ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Charlotte 49ersof Tulane Green Wave, Charlotte 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Charlotte 49ers60c2,000$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tulane Green Wave40c1,174$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Tulane Green Wave41c638$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.581,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte 49ers53c538.85$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.025,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tulane Green Wave22c533.64$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.783,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tulane Green Wave51c502.79$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.613,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Charlotte 49ers70c350.26$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7948051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Tulane Green Wave41c290$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.960548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Tulane Green Wave43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Tulane Green Wave43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Tulane Green Wave43c232.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.653646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Charlotte 49ers59c226$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6675447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Charlotte 49ers73c225$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Charlotte 49ers73c212.9$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Tulane Green Wave23c199.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.131,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Tulane Green Wave42c195.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9252928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f9…6c96backed Tulane Green Wave5c193.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Charlotte 49ers58c171.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.014,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Tulane Green Wave40c151.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.764,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Charlotte 49ers76c117$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4518654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tulane Green Wave42c116.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.12,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Charlotte 49ers59c98.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.122,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Charlotte 49ers54c82.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9418844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Charlotte 49ers56c75.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1514654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Charlotte 49ers67c67.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Tulane Green Wave42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.289850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Tulane Green Wave42c58.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.551,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdb…cb2dbacked Charlotte 49ers57c52.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Tulane Green Wave48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Charlotte 49ers65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4f…c578backed Charlotte 49ers60c32.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…2ce2backed Tulane Green Wave40c32.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Tulane Green Wave42c30.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tulane Green Wave40c29.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Tulane Green Wave40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Charlotte 49ers61c24.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5936248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Charlotte 49ers58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ba…4d28backed Charlotte 49ers64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.635160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.