Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c16935fb091c582c1834c1b162203a8d21123d8c00af6bf2c6aabfe44f722d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of MIBR, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c4d…20ccbacked MIBR | 55c | 2,997$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR | 51c | 2,982$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.79 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Cloud9 | 45c | 2,791$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.12 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed MIBR | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Cloud9 | 51c | 1,256$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.14 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Cloud9 | 51c | 1,207$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.51 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 1,132$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.24 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cloud9 | 51c | 939.71$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.85 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud9 | 50c | 888$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1979…c15cbacked Cloud9 | 48c | 807.01$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed MIBR | 49c | 555.15$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Cloud9 | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Cloud9 | 51c | 447.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.51 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MIBR | 46c | 399.73$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked MIBR | 49c | 393.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cloud9 | 56c | 388.42$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bb…f0fabacked MIBR | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Cloud9 | 48c | 363.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Cloud9 | 45c | 318.34$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed MIBR | 48c | 298.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Cloud9 | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed MIBR | 49c | 204.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked MIBR | 55c | 179.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…e8b9backed MIBR | 49c | 171.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed MIBR | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…4455backed Cloud9 | 50c | 144.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Cloud9 | 56c | 144.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Cloud9 | 50c | 141.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 235 | 63.4%149 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed MIBR | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed MIBR | 55c | 132.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Cloud9 | 53c | 123.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…0c68backed MIBR | 49c | 117.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…7f85backed MIBR | 49c | 102.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Cloud9 | 56c | 100.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked MIBR | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed MIBR | 51c | 95.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked MIBR | 51c | 92.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…0bcebacked Cloud9 | 56c | 92.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed MIBR | 52c | 92.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…1932backed MIBR | 57c | 82.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…4009backed MIBR | 49c | 79.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Cloud9 | 50c | 77.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Cloud9 | 51c | 71.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MIBR | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed MIBR | 48c | 54.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Cloud9 | 54c | 54.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…6bd3backed MIBR | 49c | 51.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b15…6712backed MIBR | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…9257backed MIBR | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278d…d3ecbacked MIBR | 55c | 38.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…7090backed MIBR | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Cloud9 | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Cloud9 | 51c | 33.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Cloud9 | 45c | 26.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Cloud9 | 48c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed MIBR | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cloud9 | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Cloud9 | 69c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaCloud9 won
- Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.