TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42015945.9%73 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c945.94$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.631,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No63c263.41$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9791148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes40c253.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes39c249.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c242.67$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.177,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes37c183.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.692825%7 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No62c116$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.361,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c101$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.861,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No66c99.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.717368.5%50 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes39c89.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6917149.7%85 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No64c75.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.359941.4%41 W · 58 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.254348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes29c61.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes39c54.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3967348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes37c50.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.696055%33 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No61c49.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4912261.5%75 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No65c48.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.953655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No62c43.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2821854.1%118 W · 100 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes37c30.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.115851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8862…bbf5backed No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.872171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No63c23.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6638359.3%227 W · 156 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No61c20.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.976969.6%48 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.