CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4b1dc472dcbe1ee6aa3aa4f98347ce6224a674659484361a66a231159d3998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxuji Esportsof ex-RUBY, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Oxuji Esports | 42c | 1,811$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.2 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 694.19$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.72 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Oxuji Esports | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Oxuji Esports | 58c | 293.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 271.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 271.56$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 201.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Oxuji Esports | 30c | 174.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 166.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…0fbbbacked ex-RUBY | 18c | 150.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Oxuji Esports | 35c | 141.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 109.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Oxuji Esports | 43c | 91.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Oxuji Esports | 50c | 76.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 71.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 63.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4c94backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 53.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Oxuji Esports | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 42.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 38.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 31.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 30.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 28.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed Oxuji Esports | 44c | 27.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 20.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 19.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 19.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.