Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Stonehill Skyhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c51f077ee083b4b0f86f4aefd9854e6f1abb001f5b005149a65b76102d8bdbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stonehill Skyhawksof St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, Stonehill Skyhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 2,675$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.21 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 68c | 2,352$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.09 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 68c | 377.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 7c | 354.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 297.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 22c | 264.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 33c | 199.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 62c | 177.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 67c | 167.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 67c | 94.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9131…cdd6backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 67c | 94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…3735backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 33c | 93.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 68c | 92.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 23c | 84.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 31c | 79.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 67c | 45.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 34c | 39.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…1d07backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 69c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Stonehill Skyhawksthis page
- Spread: Stonehill Skyhawks (-5.5)Stonehill Skyhawks won
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.