CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Phantom (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c69e0fc7aa34df7c48a05c981edb84efa54687938e2dda2655fe381147c1ff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof 3DMAX, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,395 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 11c | 1,262$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.52 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 37c | 881.73$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…90b3backed Phantom | 5c | 728.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.45 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…d286backed 3DMAX | 2c | 582$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed 3DMAX | 33c | 421.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Phantom | 67c | 419$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Phantom | 29c | 340.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.77 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed 3DMAX | 50c | 314.3$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…40d1backed 3DMAX | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Phantom | 5c | 210.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed 3DMAX | 80c | 146.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed 3DMAX | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed 3DMAX | 24c | 119.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Phantom | 22c | 114.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Phantom | 13c | 111.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Phantom | 19c | 111.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed 3DMAX | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 3DMAX | 70c | 88.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…2810backed 3DMAX | 72c | 88.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Phantom | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Phantom | 36c | 71.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed 3DMAX | 58c | 70.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked 3DMAX | 79c | 65.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed Phantom | 50c | 59.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Phantom | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed 3DMAX | 50c | 40.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Phantom | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Phantom | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 3DMAX | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed Phantom | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed 3DMAX | 50c | 27.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked 3DMAX | 64c | 23.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed 3DMAX | 72c | 20.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked 3DMAX | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 3DMAX | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 3DMAX | 68c | 17.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Phantom (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffsthis page
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.