Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c8f9678ec66283d2d6009e26fff34b6438615bbd568a0c8f56434a575319861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 51c | 4,697$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.8 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,011$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 48c | 1,019$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.06 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 47c | 524.95$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.22 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 470.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.97 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 153.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 49c | 145.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 113.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 109.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 79.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 45c | 34.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 30.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 50c | 28.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 55c | 28.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Over | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 25.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 44c | 22.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 175.5this page
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson TideAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-14.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.