Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colgate vs. Boston Univ.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9350a4e19a8883f05c419c08f0f54a1144f0028b2b07c214c78e4eadb261ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Univ.of Colgate, Boston Univ.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Colgate | 16c | 690$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Colgate | 62c | 450$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Boston Univ. | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…9fa2backed Boston Univ. | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…c675backed Colgate | 51c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…0637backed Colgate | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Boston Univ. | 42c | 60.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…4ea9backed Colgate | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Colgate | 60c | 51.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…d099backed Colgate | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940d…1920backed Boston Univ. | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…a187backed Boston Univ. | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…0698backed Boston Univ. | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…df05backed Boston Univ. | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…c74bbacked Boston Univ. | 34c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…5a08backed Boston Univ. | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…6c55backed Boston Univ. | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…50c5backed Boston Univ. | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…ba1bbacked Colgate | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…756cbacked Colgate | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa417…d778backed Colgate | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…8149backed Colgate | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…5ef5backed Boston Univ. | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…f32cbacked Colgate | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c9…bfe4backed Colgate | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…ea13backed Boston Univ. | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…89ebbacked Colgate | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a0…8d67backed Colgate | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…808ebacked Colgate | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Colgate | 72c | 20.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015c…7449backed Colgate | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.