CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Monte (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ca708d231029442f8e02d2cfb9bebd5fb0b6c179129581c4e9325bf29c2e039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof NIP, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte | 49c | 902.15$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed NIP | 52c | 509$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.68 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…1142backed NIP | 38c | 471.7$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked NIP | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Monte | 73c | 137.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Monte | 48c | 132.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NIP | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Monte | 49c | 97.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Monte | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed NIP | 71c | 80.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…140cbacked NIP | 60c | 73.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked NIP | 27c | 61.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Monte | 39c | 46.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Monte | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 46c | 38.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked NIP | 51c | 37.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Monte | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…4b19backed Monte | 65c | 22.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed NIP | 65c | 21.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Monte | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed Monte | 78c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Monte (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.