Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rogaska Slatina: Ilinca Sagmar vs Gloria Levinsky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb84b86a1bb3970f6f293051d0f9d5ae5e685b30ffcd403a66f4de5d4feb7ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilinca Sagmarof Ilinca Sagmar, Gloria Levinsky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gloria Levinsky | 49c | 12,119$5,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,882.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ilinca Sagmar | 47c | 6,498$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilinca Sagmar | 56c | 4,195$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.47 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilinca Sagmar | 57c | 2,416$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.53 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Gloria Levinsky | 51c | 1,276$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.2 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gloria Levinsky | 41c | 1,049$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Ilinca Sagmar | 56c | 385$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.37 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Ilinca Sagmar | 45c | 253.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Ilinca Sagmar | 57c | 214.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Ilinca Sagmar | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Gloria Levinsky | 40c | 135.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Gloria Levinsky | 50c | 125.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Gloria Levinsky | 24c | 125.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilinca Sagmar | 76c | 122.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Gloria Levinsky | 31c | 106.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Ilinca Sagmar | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Gloria Levinsky | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Ilinca Sagmar | 56c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Gloria Levinsky | 49c | 89.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Gloria Levinsky | 18c | 73.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gloria Levinsky | 44c | 69.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Ilinca Sagmar | 56c | 64.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Gloria Levinsky | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gloria Levinsky | 25c | 42.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Gloria Levinsky | 47c | 34.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Ilinca Sagmar | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Ilinca Sagmar | 58c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Ilinca Sagmar | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.