CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ce5cf1344de8675d2dec477ef6c274f03378913fc320a7cba23d5169518bc92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bad Luckof Bad Luck, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bad Luck | 48c | 2,163$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.93 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed MAGICOS | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked MAGICOS | 69c | 1,851$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bad Luck | 40c | 1,227$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.01 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bad Luck | 31c | 834.64$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…2ad0backed Bad Luck | 76c | 276.55$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bad Luck | 37c | 270.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.01 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bad Luck | 37c | 229.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Bad Luck | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Bad Luck | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Bad Luck | 63c | 98.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked MAGICOS | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Bad Luck | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Bad Luck | 31c | 62.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad66…a97fbacked MAGICOS | 35c | 41.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Bad Luck | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Bad Luck | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed MAGICOS | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed MAGICOS | 73c | 31.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked MAGICOS | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs MAGICOS - Map 1 WinnerMAGICOS won
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs MAGICOS - Map 2 WinnerBad Luck won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.