Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ce97f7e2264c08fd44b3d12e153d39e03c32b8a955d746e0b24363f14a5c88c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejo Sanchez Quilezof Antoine Ghibaudo, Alejo Sanchez Quilez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 5c | 11,731$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.48 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 41c | 1,705$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 5c | 1,430$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 59c | 1,039$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.12 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 7c | 427.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 26c | 206.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 60c | 183.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 45c | 121.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 40c | 119.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 38c | 111.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 25c | 110.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 55c | 92.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 60c | 85.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 41c | 65.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 47c | 63.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4820backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 19c | 61.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 59c | 54.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 40c | 54.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 40c | 51.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 73c | 49.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 38c | 46.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…f1b8backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 60c | 41.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 60c | 33.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 74c | 33.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Antoine Ghibaudo | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Antoine Ghibaudo | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 55c | 26.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 58c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 595 | 65.4%389 W · 206 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 77c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 590 | 50.5%298 W · 292 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Segovia: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ghibaudo vs QuilezQuilez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.