Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Navone (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d21d6d5f2329692dbcf5a5b15e95ad910e8246a7e9ee0abc7d532f8a1b160f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berrettiniof Navone, Berrettini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Navone | 21c | 2,455$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.57 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed Berrettini | 79c | 1,796$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Berrettini | 76c | 1,612$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.78 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Berrettini | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…0160backed Berrettini | 80c | 611.25$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Berrettini | 76c | 184$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Berrettini | 40c | 99.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Navone | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Berrettini | 48c | 54.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60af…ccf5backed Berrettini | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Navone | 52c | 27.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Navone | 52c | 26.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Berrettini | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Berrettini | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Navone (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)this page
- Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano NavoneMariano Navone won
- Matteo Berrettini vs. Mariano Navone: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Berrettini vs NavoneNavone won
- Set 2 Winner: Berrettini vs NavoneBerrettini won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)Navone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.