Premier League · resolved market
Exact Score: Hull City AFC 0 - 3 Manchester United FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d594301359b375024f453b1bf6fa0b81cdbccd71cd46ca06ef7cd4404e60598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 3,857$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 10c | 1,273$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,070$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 10c | 734.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes | 9c | 385.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 10c | 254.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 10c | 249$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…5ff6backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…87c7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 0 - 3 Manchester United FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 0 - 1 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 0 - 2 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 0 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 1 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 3 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 2 - 0 Manchester United FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 2 - 1 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 2 - 2 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 2 - 3 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 3 - 0 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 3 - 1 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 3 - 2 Manchester United FC?No won
- Exact Score: Hull City AFC 3 - 3 Manchester United FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.