Tennis · resolved market
Bengaluru 2: Ilya Ivashka vs Kuan-Yi Lee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d73453076b69d7f70e78f6907223c8407f6cce71a3b9ddc9391942bd512f379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilya Ivashkaof Ilya Ivashka, Kuan-Yi Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 9c | 1,018$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kuan-Yi Lee | 5c | 974.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kuan-Yi Lee | 18c | 586.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 7c | 574.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 5c | 524.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 18c | 452.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kuan-Yi Lee | 22c | 428.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 30c | 416.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kuan-Yi Lee | 24c | 199.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…3fedbacked Ilya Ivashka | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 93 | 67.7%63 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ilya Ivashka | 74c | 158$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kuan-Yi Lee | 24c | 121$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Ilya Ivashka | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Ilya Ivashka | 60c | 68.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Ilya Ivashka | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…c843backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 25c | 48.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 25c | 41.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Ilya Ivashka | 75c | 40.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 28c | 38.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Kuan-Yi Lee | 28c | 38.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Ilya Ivashka | 76c | 35.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Ilya Ivashka | 73c | 35.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ilya Ivashka | 76c | 34.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Ilya Ivashka | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Ilya Ivashka | 79c | 26.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.