Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de36bbf1643ed1d89e668afecdf802607caded3b330de3c02737e45732840ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 52c | 1,548$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.27 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…da60backed Under | 68c | 1,138$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 741.02$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.64 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 55c | 673.25$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Under | 51c | 599.82$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Over | 37c | 470$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Under | 51c | 430.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 47c | 382.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.36 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 64c | 339.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed Over | 49c | 94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 54c | 88.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…efb0backed Under | 54c | 57.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…b49abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Under | 69c | 22.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 55c | 19.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.