Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tarleton State Texans vs. Rice Owls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e51303358dcb564d43ab818c9a5166b00b6ea421fdca1e0a14ff844de7b8f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tarleton State Texansof Tarleton State Texans, Rice Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 37c | 6,130$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.08 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rice Owls | 63c | 5,860$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.98 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tarleton State Texans | 59c | 3,524$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rice Owls | 61c | 3,096$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.97 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rice Owls | 52c | 2,617$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.29 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 2,466$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.12 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rice Owls | 64c | 1,607$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.35 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Tarleton State Texans | 35c | 1,529$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.72 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rice Owls | 27c | 811.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 800$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rice Owls | 64c | 551$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rice Owls | 61c | 352.78$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rice Owls | 50c | 350.41$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Rice Owls | 24c | 332.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 33c | 295.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Rice Owls | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Tarleton State Texans | 37c | 173$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rice Owls | 63c | 154$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Rice Owls | 63c | 153.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Rice Owls | 67c | 153.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Rice Owls | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rice Owls | 67c | 117$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rice Owls | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 46c | 58.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rice Owls | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…56cbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…c7c6backed Tarleton State Texans | 35c | 43.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…3a52backed Rice Owls | 66c | 37.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rice Owls | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Tarleton State Texans | 29c | 36.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ce…45f9backed Rice Owls | 67c | 35.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb11…4da5backed Rice Owls | 67c | 34.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Tarleton State Texans | 59c | 31.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Tarleton State Texans | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 27.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe594…1d73backed Rice Owls | 66c | 27.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Rice Owls | 67c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.