Tennis · resolved market
ITF Taipei: Sakura Hosogi vs Ya Yi Yang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e774231ea649276e4e68f1612d149e41b76c421184688b2ce4806a908452c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sakura Hosogiof Sakura Hosogi, Ya Yi Yang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sakura Hosogi | 46c | 11,108$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,969.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ya Yi Yang | 66c | 6,526$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.26 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ya Yi Yang | 63c | 3,646$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.08 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ya Yi Yang | 38c | 1,980$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.35 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sakura Hosogi | 21c | 1,456$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.03 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Ya Yi Yang | 41c | 1,239$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.18 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Ya Yi Yang | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Sakura Hosogi | 50c | 989.95$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.83 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Sakura Hosogi | 58c | 448.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.71 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ya Yi Yang | 42c | 429.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ya Yi Yang | 42c | 405.47$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…693cbacked Sakura Hosogi | 58c | 174.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ya Yi Yang | 48c | 160.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Ya Yi Yang | 69c | 141$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sakura Hosogi | 53c | 123.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Ya Yi Yang | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60bf…ebb6backed Sakura Hosogi | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Ya Yi Yang | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Sakura Hosogi | 57c | 96.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sakura Hosogi | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Sakura Hosogi | 30c | 71.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Sakura Hosogi | 29c | 69.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sakura Hosogi | 76c | 65.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ya Yi Yang | 56c | 53.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sakura Hosogi | 27c | 45.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Sakura Hosogi | 67c | 44.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sakura Hosogi | 56c | 39.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Ya Yi Yang | 63c | 36.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sakura Hosogi | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Sakura Hosogi | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…8f17backed Sakura Hosogi | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Ya Yi Yang | 58c | 34.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ya Yi Yang | 41c | 26.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Sakura Hosogi | 47c | 26.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 130 | 63.1%82 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50f…8e7cbacked Sakura Hosogi | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Sakura Hosogi | 78c | 16.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.