Lol · resolved market
LoL: New Meta vs L Guide Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ebc12d405359fd66305ecc7b445b7108def309d3807e2f5cc5ddc8d242efa05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Metaof New Meta, L Guide Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked New Meta | 42c | 1,197$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.44 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed L Guide Gaming | 57c | 453.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.8 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed L Guide Gaming | 58c | 382.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked L Guide Gaming | 57c | 268$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 183 | 35.5%65 W · 118 L | -23.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked New Meta | 43c | 231.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed L Guide Gaming | 60c | 193.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed L Guide Gaming | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked New Meta | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked L Guide Gaming | 60c | 134$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked New Meta | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked L Guide Gaming | 56c | 81.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked L Guide Gaming | 27c | 73.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked L Guide Gaming | 58c | 72.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 242 | 34.7%84 W · 158 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked New Meta | 48c | 56.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked New Meta | 77c | 56.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked New Meta | 49c | 38.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed L Guide Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 247 | 35.2%87 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked New Meta | 40c | 28.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed New Meta | 42c | 25.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed L Guide Gaming | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed New Meta | 47c | 23.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed New Meta | 59c | 22.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed L Guide Gaming | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…1929backed L Guide Gaming | 60c | 17.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: New Meta vs L Guide Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: New Meta vs L Guide Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNew Meta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.